Domestic summer travel is poised to pop if the start of spring break is any indication — when an average of more than a travelers are expected to lead the recovery as business travel continues to lag. Here are five things we know about flying this summer. The skies will be busier, the planes fuller. According to the airline Airlines for America, passenger volume on U.S. carriers was down 53 percent in mid-March compared to pre-Covid-19 levels, but up from the darkest days of the pandemic, when it bottomed out below 90 percent.at U.S. airports. Airlines have been expanding their route networks, especially in vacation destinations, as competition for leisure travelers heats up. Leisure
With the soft bounce, onlyhas blocked middle seats through April. (Alaska Airlines keeps middle in its Premium Class through May 31). It would not comment on an extension. “I expect that Delta is going to get rid of the blocked middle seat policy,” said Henry Harteveldt, president of the travel consultancy Atmosphere Research Group, citing continuing confidence and competition from other airlines. “Delta realizes it will have to compete more on price than in the past.”
Though the average plane in recent summer., summer looks busier. The airfare app Hopper found searches for domestic travel rose nearly 60 percent for summer travel since Feb. 20, comparable to inquiries in Jan. 2020, before the pandemic. Helene Becker, an airline analyst at the Cowen, forecasts domestic leisure travel this summer to grow to within five percent of prepandemic levels. Business and will remain 80 to 90 percent off. “People are sick of this paradise prison in their homes,” Ms. Becker said. “I think we’ll see what I call a jailbreak this
Higher airfares are headed into low-cost headwinds.
According to Peter Belobaba, who researches the global airline industry at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, with more people traveling, airfares will go up. But travelers can to yo-yo as airlines carefully manage seat pricing. “It’s difficult to get a cheap fare to Honolulu on a Friday, but it’s pretty easy to get a low fare to Boise on a Tuesday morning,” he said.
Hopper predicts summer airfares to increase by about 12 percent in May but to stay low, with the average domestic business travelers who tend to spend more and fly more, airlines will lack the power to raise fares significantly. Travel Association doesn’t expect a full business travel recovery before 2025.estimated to top out around $257 in midsummer, compared to everywhere $230 now. But without